Who AI recommends, and why it changes: the dated record, October 2026
A dated record of what AI assistants say when asked who to hire locally. Record start 2026-08-02. Report window for the figures: 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-27, plus the 2026-10-04 and 2026-10-05 door test and one Siri day. Every number carries its date and denominator. Nothing here predicts or promises any ranking or income.
The five findings
- Perplexity API answers named the same business again the next answered day in 1,750 of 2,795 pairs (0.6261), against 137 of 681 for OpenAI (0.2012) and 286 of 1,000 for Gemini (0.2860), 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-27.
- Asked the same 9 Pleasanton questions, the logged-out ChatGPT app named local businesses on 8 of 8 answered questions (2026-10-05), while the OpenAI API with web search off named a Pleasanton local firm on 0 of 9 (2026-10-04).
- Perplexity cited expertise.com on 248 of 642 cell-days with cited sources (38.6%) and yelp.com on 214 of 642 (33.3%), 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-26.
- The engines rarely named the same businesses: the highest pairwise agreement was Gemini with Perplexity at 0.0610 (17.0723 of 280 shared answered cell-days), and Perplexity with Anthropic scored 0.0000 (0 of 855), 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-27.
- Of 22 popular AI-visibility statistics traced to their source on 2026-10-05, 5 were sourced, 7 distorted, 8 unsourced, 1 circular and 1 contradicted.
1. Only Perplexity is sticky
Perplexity API answers named the same business again the next answered day in 1,750 of 2,795 pairs (0.6261), against 137 of 681 for OpenAI (0.2012) and 286 of 1,000 for Gemini (0.2860), 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-27.
| Engine | Persistence (share of named businesses named again the next answered day) | Pairs (numerator of denominator) | Churn (0 = same list, 1 = list fully replaced) | Answered-day pairs (numerator of denominator) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perplexity | 0.6261 | 1,750 of 2,795 | 0.5057 | 406.614 of 804 |
| Gemini | 0.2860 | 286 of 1,000 | 0.8277 | 144.026 of 174 |
| OpenAI | 0.2012 | 137 of 681 | 0.9212 | 409.013 of 444 |
| Anthropic (small base, do not compare) | 0.3684 | 14 of 38 | 0.6818 | 30 of 44 |
What this means for a local business
A business that Perplexity names today is named again the next answered day about 63 in 100 times in this record, against about 20 in 100 for OpenAI. The same business showing up in one check is therefore a stronger signal on Perplexity than on the other engines. This is a description of past answers, not a prediction for any business.
Limits
- Window is 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-27 for OpenAI, Gemini and Anthropic. Perplexity collection changed in the files dated 2026-09-27, so the Perplexity cited-domain figures in finding 3 use 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-26. Perplexity figures in findings 1 and 4 and the listing comparison were computed through 2026-09-27 and have not been recomputed for the 2026-09-26 cut. Anthropic persistence rests on 38 pairs and churn on 44, so it is not compared.
- Names are keyed per market after alias merging, so identity across days relies on the merged key.
- API answers only; consumer apps can behave differently (see finding 2).
2. The door changes the answer
Asked the same 9 Pleasanton questions, the logged-out ChatGPT app named local businesses on 8 of 8 answered questions (2026-10-05), while the OpenAI API with web search off named a Pleasanton local firm on 0 of 9 (2026-10-04).
| Door | Date | Result | Web search |
|---|---|---|---|
| ChatGPT web app, logged out, fresh cloud browser | 2026-10-05 | Named local businesses on 8 of 8 answered questions; question 9 ended in an error (step limit) | Used web sources (cited expertise.com, avvo.com, zocdoc.com and others) |
| OpenAI API | 2026-10-04 | Pleasanton local firms named on 0 of 9 questions; named national chains, regulators, directories and place names | Off (our API call runs without a web search tool; no sources returned on any row) |
Prior work: info.link, ChatGPT API vs UI: do they return the same citations? (2026-08-31).
What this means for a local business
Checking how an AI assistant answers about your business through one door does not tell you what customers see through another. In this test the logged-out app answered with named local businesses and the API call, which ran without web search, answered with a checklist plus directories and chains. We disclose the web-search setting because it is the mechanism that differs. This extends prior work: info.link published a ChatGPT API vs UI study on 2026-08-31 (52,170 chats, 41% brand-visibility difference, brands generally). Our addition is local businesses, with the web-search setting disclosed.
Limits
- The days differ: API on 2026-10-04, app on 2026-10-05.
- Which OpenAI model the API row used is not recorded in the file.
- The cloud browser's location is unknown; the questions name the city.
- The business names in the app column are an extraction by our lane. Only the question 5 answer was confirmed against screenshots, where the logged-out app rendered a local map of Dublin and Pleasanton with rated place pins.
- Question 9 on the app side ended in an error, so the app denominator is 8, not 9. Logged-out Perplexity and Copilot hit login walls and are not compared.
3. Directories feed the answers
Perplexity cited expertise.com on 248 of 642 cell-days with cited sources (38.6%) and yelp.com on 214 of 642 (33.3%), 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-26.
| Domain | Cell-days cited | Out of cell-days with cited sources | Share | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| expertise.com | 248 | 642 | 38.6% | Directory or review site |
| yelp.com | 214 | 642 | 33.3% | Directory or review site |
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Median days named, businesses on the Expertise.com page | 5 days |
| Median days named, businesses not on the page (named at least once) | about 1 day |
| Listed businesses named at least once in the window | 57 of 414 (13.8%) |
| Per-cell top 5 slots held by listed businesses | 23 of 75 (30.7%), against a 6.6% share of named businesses |
| Cells where the listed median exceeds the unlisted median | 13 of 13 comparable cells |
What this means for a local business
The pages Perplexity cites most often for local questions in this record are directory and review sites. Whether a business is listed on them is a fact you can check. Among businesses Perplexity named at least once, those on the Expertise.com page were named on a median of 5 days against about 1 day for those not on it. This is an association; most listed businesses were not named at all in the window.
Limits
- The Expertise.com result is a correlation, not a cause. Listed firms tend to be established and review-rich, which can independently drive naming.
- Listing membership was read from live pages on 2026-10-05 and may differ from September membership.
- Yelp could not be scraped for the listing comparison, so no Yelp comparison was made.
- The comparison covers 15 cells; 14 cells had no Expertise.com page cited. Pleasanton injury-law cells may be affected by other work and show the largest effect.
- Domain classification is heuristic. Google SERP rows are partly missing: 791 of 1,269 SERP rows failed extraction at a consent wall and carry no data.
4. The engines rarely agree
The engines rarely named the same businesses: the highest pairwise agreement was Gemini with Perplexity at 0.0610 (17.0723 of 280 shared answered cell-days), and Perplexity with Anthropic scored 0.0000 (0 of 855), 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-27.
| Engine pair | Agreement | Overlap (numerator of shared answered cell-days) |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini and Perplexity | 0.0610 | 17.0723 of 280 |
| OpenAI and Gemini | 0.0117 | 2.68669 of 229 |
| OpenAI and Perplexity | 0.0065 | 4.91865 of 758 |
| OpenAI and Anthropic | 0.0005 | 0.166667 of 352 |
| Gemini and Anthropic | 0.0004 | 0.111111 of 302 |
| Perplexity and Anthropic | 0.0000 | 0 of 855 |
| Engine | Name rate (answered days with at least one named business) | Answered days | Effective businesses (1 divided by concentration) | Cells with names |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini | 0.9741 | 301 of 309 | 14.6865 | 34 |
| Perplexity | 0.9435 | 852 of 903 | 7.2926 | 37 |
| OpenAI | 0.4494 | 351 of 781 | 6.3151 | 38 |
| Anthropic | 0.0331 | 34 of 1026 | 1.5226 | 4 |
What this means for a local business
Being named by one engine tells you almost nothing about being named by another, so each engine is a separate check. Gemini spread its names across the most distinct businesses and Perplexity across fewer, so the share of a market that any one business can hold differs by engine.
Limits
- Anthropic named a local business on 34 of 1,026 answered cell-days, so its rows are thin and agreement with it is close to zero by construction.
- Pooled effective-business figures are a mean of cell values, not a business-weighted figure.
- 108 cell-day-engine duplicates were merged by union, and the 2026-10-04 Google SERP quarantine list was applied.
5. Most popular AI-visibility statistics do not survive a trip to their source
Of 22 popular AI-visibility statistics traced to their source on 2026-10-05, 5 were sourced, 7 distorted, 8 unsourced, 1 circular and 1 contradicted.
| Grade | Statements | Out of |
|---|---|---|
| Sourced | 5 | 22 |
| Distorted | 7 | 22 |
| Unsourced | 8 | 22 |
| Circular | 1 | 22 |
| Contradicted | 1 | 22 |
Two examples from the ledger: the statement that 88% of local businesses are invisible in AI search was graded unsourced, because the page that carries it names no study. The finding that 83% of restaurants were invisible in ChatGPT results was graded sourced, because a primary study states it, run by a vendor on restaurant queries only.
What this means for a local business
Before relying on an AI-visibility statistic in a sales pitch or a budget, trace it to the page that first states it, its date, its sample and what was actually measured. Each graded statement is listed with its sources on the claims page.
Limits
- Sourced means the number exists at the primary source and says what is claimed. It does not mean the method was checked.
- Some pages could not be scraped (social posts and forum threads were seen only as search excerpts), so those statements are not in the 22.
- Grades are our reading on 2026-10-05; the claims page lists each source so you can check it.
Method
- The dated record started on 2026-08-02 and covers 27 markets. Fixed questions for each market and niche are run every day through the engines.
- Window used for the figures above: 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-27, API answers, 5,076 rows, 38 market-and-niche cells, 4 engines. Perplexity changed its collection method in the files dated 2026-09-27; see Limits for which figures use 2026-09-26 as the last Perplexity day.
- Google rows listed in the 2026-10-04 quarantine file list are excluded.
- Raw files are hashed so a later change to any row is detectable.
- Definitions: persistence, churn, concentration, agreement and name rate are defined in the metrics file; an answered day is a day with at least one business string returned.
How to cite
Namebeam dated record, markets.namebeam.ai/report/october-2026/, published 2026-10-05